A new CNBC Fed Survey, conducted from Sept. 12 to Sept. 14, reveals a closely contested race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Among the 27 investment strategists, economists, and fund managers surveyed, 48% see a Harris victory as the most likely outcome, while 41% predict a Trump win. This marks a shift from July’s survey when 50% believed Trump would win and only 37% saw Harris as the likely victor.
Harris, who entered the race unopposed after President Joe Biden’s withdrawal, has centered her campaign on expanding the middle class and reducing consumer costs. Trump, on the other hand, has focused on extending tax cuts and imposing tariffs on imports.
The survey shows 56% believe Trump’s presidency would benefit the stock market, but respondents are more divided on the broader economy, with 44% favoring Trump and 41% supporting Harris.
The candidates also differ in their overall appeal, with 52% of respondents believing Harris would be better for the country, while 37% view Trump more favorably. report from The Economist.
As the November election approaches, economic policy remains central to both campaigns, with Harris focusing on affordability and Trump advocating for continued tax cuts and deregulation.