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Trump Maintains Lead Over Biden Following Debate, According to New Poll

Admin July 2, 2024
Biden Criticizes Trump

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Former President Trump’s lead over President Biden in national polling remains unchanged following last week’s debate, according to a new survey.

The Harvard CAPS/Harris poll released Monday from The Hill, conducted after the debate, shows Trump leading Biden by 6 percentage points in a head-to-head match-up, 47 percent to 41 percent, with 12 percent undecided. This mirrors the pollster’s last survey from May when Trump led 49 percent to 43 percent.

When undecided voters were required to choose, Trump’s lead narrowed to 52 percent to 48 percent, slightly closer than the May result of 53 percent to 47 percent.

In a three-way race with independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Trump’s lead expanded. The former president led by about 6 points, with Kennedy at 12 percent, up from a 4-point lead in May. When the 8 percent of undecided voters were required to choose, Trump led Biden at 46 percent to 39 percent, with Kennedy at 15 percent. This is an increase from the 5-point lead Trump had in May. report from AOL.

In a five-way race including Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent Cornel West, the margins stayed roughly the same, with Trump holding a 7- or 8-point lead before and after the debate.

Trump and Biden appeared on stage together for the first time since 2020 last week in a highly anticipated faceoff. Biden’s performance, marked by frequent stumbling over his words and struggles to clearly state his positions, has raised concerns among some Democrats about his viability as the nominee.

Mark Penn, the co-director of the poll, noted that while internal numbers have shifted in favor of Trump—such as Biden’s approval rating dropping and rising economic anxiety—the overall race remains stable in Trump’s favor. He added that Biden is maintaining his support base. told by Yahoo.

Despite concerns, the Biden campaign and key surrogates insist that Biden will continue his campaign and is capable of running for president successfully and serving another four years.

The Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey was conducted June 28-30 and surveyed 2,090 registered voters. It is a collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard University and the Harris Poll. The survey is an online sample drawn from the Harris Panel and weighted to reflect known demographics. As a representative online sample, it does not report a probability confidence interval.

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