A startling poll released on Sunday has revealed that former President Donald Trump’s once-strong hold on Iowa may be fading. According to a survey conducted by renowned pollster Ann Selzer for the Des Moines Register, Trump now leads Vice President Kamala Harris by only 4 percentage points, 47-43. This represents a sharp decline from his previously dominant position in the state. told by Mediaite.
One surprising element of the poll is the continued support for Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is drawing 6 percent of the vote despite having withdrawn from the race. Kennedy will remain on the ballot in Iowa, which could further complicate the political landscape as his support could shift unpredictably in the final weeks.
The shift is particularly dramatic when compared to a similar poll conducted in June when President Joe Biden was still in the race. At that time, Trump held a commanding 18-point lead over Biden, 50-32, with Kennedy garnering 9 percent. The significant narrowing of Trump’s lead over Harris suggests a growing vulnerability in a state he won decisively in the last two presidential elections. In 2016, Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in Iowa by 9.5 points, and in 2020, he beat Biden by 9.2 points.
The new poll serves as a major warning sign for the Trump campaign, as Iowa has been considered a reliable state for him. The narrowing gap suggests that Harris is making inroads with key voter demographics, particularly among women. The poll revealed a stark gender divide, with men favoring Trump by a 59-32 margin, while women back Harris by a significant 53-36 margin. This contrast highlights the importance of gender dynamics in the 2024 election and could signal a potential shift in the political landscape if Harris continues to gain momentum with female voters. report from CNN.
As the election season progresses, Iowa, once considered safely in Trump’s corner, now appears to be more competitive than previously thought. With Kennedy’s unexpected continued presence on the ballot and Harris closing the gap, Trump’s path to victory in the Hawkeye State may be less certain than it once seemed. The upcoming months will be critical for both campaigns as they seek to solidify support in this crucial battleground.
